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I guess we have to leave at some point…

This is the from the Wikipedia page about red giant stars:

The Sun is expected to become a red giant approximately 5 billion years from now. It is calculated that the Sun will become sufficiently large to engulf the current orbits of the solar system’s inner planets, up to Earth, and its radius will expand to a minimum of 200 times its current value. The Sun will lose a significant fraction of its mass in the process of becoming a red giant, and there is a chance that Mars and all the outer planets will escape as their resulting orbits will widen. Mercury and most likely Venus will have been swallowed by sun’s outer layer at this time. Earth’s fate is less clear. Earth could technically achieve a widening of its orbit and could potentially maintain a sufficiently high angular velocity to keep it from becoming engulfed. In order to do so, its orbit needs to increase to between 1.3 AU (190,000,000 km) and 1.7 AU (250,000,000 km). However the results of studies announced in 2008 show that due to tidal interaction between sun and Earth, Earth would actually fall back into a lower orbit, and get engulfed and incorporated inside the sun before the sun reaches its largest size, despite the sun losing about 38% of its mass. Before this happens, Earth’s biosphere will have long been destroyed by the Sun’s steady increase in brightness as its hydrogen supply dwindles and its core contracts, even before the transition to a Red Giant. After just over 1 billion years, the extra solar energy input will cause Earth’s oceans to evaporate and the hydrogen from the water to be lost permanently to space, with total loss of water by 3 billion years. Earth’s atmosphere and lithosphere will become like that of Venus. Over another billion years, most of the atmosphere will get lost in space as well; ultimately leaving Earth as a desiccated, dead planet with a surface of molten rock.

I suppose, however, that humans are extremely unlikely to exist anywhere near 1 billion years from now.  As I understand it, humans have been around for between 3 and 5 million years* depending on when you considered an evolving monkey to be a “human”.  So we’d need to multiply our total existence by about 250 times to even get to that point.  Still though, I find the ultimate fate of earth to be quite interesting.  And that has nothing to do with my dedication to watching Battlestar Gallactica every week.

*EDIT: I read more about this and on Wikipedia it says that “modern” humans have been around for 200,000 years but the general species has been around for 2.something million years.  Either way, not that long in relation to the amount of time still left before the sun destroys earth.

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  • I don’t mean to be a nit, but the statement “an evolving monkey to be a “human”” is inaccurate.

    Humans weren’t descended from monkeys, in the same way that you are not descended from your cousin – both humans and monkeys share a common ancestor, in the same way that you and your cousin share common ancestors.

    Michael Josem

    March 7, 2009

  • we’ve evolved a ton over the last 2 million years, imagine how much we’ll evolve over the remaining couple billion years.

    i imagine our evolution to move us closer to looking like the typical description of aliens. the more we rely on technology to do our work, the weaker, we’ll become. we’ll evolve to a smaller, skinnier being. possibly larger eyes, because of the need to view monitors for extended periods, and we’ll continue to evolve our 6th sense. should be interesting. maybe we’ll learn that the aliens that visit us now are actually humans from the future…

    tedtodd

    March 9, 2009

  • lmao tedtodd, scary stuff!

    gambler2k4

    March 10, 2009

  • I think nuclear war waged on religious grounds (see my most recent blog) is about a billion times more likely to end human existence than the chance of us making it 5 billion years before religious wackos blow us all up.

    steve

    March 11, 2009

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